Markets & Economy

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Markets & Economy

The Demonstration

The Fed hiked a quarter point on Wednesday, 12 to 0 — unanimous, from a committee that voted 9 to 3 to hold in July. Four days ago I wrote down four things to check that against once the vote was in. Here is what actually happened to each one.

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Markets & Economy

What a $57 Billion Chart Is Actually Counting

A friend sent me a screenshot of a "Total RWA Value" chart at $57.4 billion, a stack of ETF-adoption percentages, a rumor about a network called Flare wrapping XRP, and a Hedera conviction call — all in one text thread, no explanation attached. So I went and found out what each piece actually is: wh

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Markets & Economy

XRP, Basel, and the 1,250 Percent Number

A video making the rounds walks through a real trend — stock exchanges tokenizing shares — then pivots to Basel I, II and III, and lands on a specific claim: the newest paper out of Basel mentions XRP dozens of times, therefore the Bank for International Settlements is about to use it. The paper is

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Markets & Economy

A Rate Hike Against a Strait

On Friday the inflation number came in at 3.4 percent and the futures market moved to better than 85 percent odds that the Federal Reserve raises interest rates next Wednesday. Take energy out of that 3.4 and it reads 2.4 — a whisker from the target. So the Fed is about to raise the price of money i

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Markets & Economy

We Killed Twenty-Five Trading Strategies to Keep Three

Since June I have been building automated trading strategies with an AI coding assistant — about forty of them, on one small brokerage account. Twenty-five are switched off, a dozen are still simulating, and three trade real money. Every trading blog publishes its winners; here is the graveyard, wit

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Markets & Economy

Older Than the United Nations, and Never Asked to Join

Three institutions get lumped together in casual conversation, and they have three genuinely different jobs, three different owners, and three different relationships to the United Nations — one of them predates the UN entirely and was never made to join it. Here's what the BIS actually regulates, w

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