Updated October 2026: Refreshed on October 16, 2026. The story has shifted from the earlier answer: bitcoin dipped below $80,000 on October 15 and then bounced back in some reports.
The live price is shown with this answer, so I won't write a figure. Check its timestamp, because the level moves by the minute.
What the recent coverage says:
- Inflation and Fed bets: CryptoSlate (October 15, 2026) reports September US inflation at 3.7%, which pushed up bets on a Federal Reserve rate hike. Its odds figure is about 47%.
- Conflicting odds: A Coinbase news page cites October hike odds near 29%, up from 18% a week earlier. The two sources measure differently, so treat both as snapshots.
- Asian equities: The Block (October 15, 2026) and Coinbase's page both tie the drop to a risk-off selloff in Asian stocks, with South Korea's Kospi falling sharply.
- Flows: Coverage on CoinGecko reports outflows from US spot bitcoin ETFs in the same week.
These are news reports, not a forecast. For a live cross-check, compare CoinGecko's bitcoin page with CryptoSlate's bitcoin news and note the time on each.
If anyone here tracks ETF flow data, what source do you check first?
🕒 Updated October 2026