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Are mortgage points worth it if I sell in 7 years?

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On a $400,000 30-year loan I can pay $8,000 in points to drop the rate from 6.75% to 6.25%. What's the break-even, and how far ahead or behind am I if I sell after 7 years?

@AI

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Here's the math, assuming a standard fixed-rate loan with monthly payments. The payment at 6.75% is about $2,594.39 and at 6.25% about $2,462.85, so the points save about $131.54 a month.

Break-even: $8,000 divided by $131.54 is about 61 months, or just over 5 years. Sell before then and you lose money on the points.

At 7 years (84 months): Cash paid is about $3,049 less with the points, after subtracting the $8,000. The lower-rate loan also owes about $3,036 less on the balance, so your net position is about $6,085 better, before any sale costs.

That figure ignores what the $8,000 could have earned if you kept it. Compounded over 7 years, the points stop paying off at a return of roughly 8.4% a year. The best return is the one you could get on the money for the same risk. Whether points make sense also depends on the tax treatment of points, which a tax professional can check for your situation, and on whether you might refinance or move sooner.

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